According to the latest Census Report for the 2006
fourth quarter and year, the paint industry achieved another record in both
shipment volume and value. The results showed gains in Architectural and
Product OEM coatings while Special Purpose coatings declined in
volume.
The total paint industry increased in volume shipped for the year by 3.1% to
1,393.4 million gallons; shipment value increased 4.5% to $19,379.6 million.
Both volume and value set all-time record highs. This is encouraging, but the
fourth quarter results indicated a decline in shipment volume of 2.2% and only
a small increase in shipment value of 1.1%. Although the fourth quarter is
usually one of the smaller growth quarters for the industry, the negative
growth in volume could be a prelude to a less-than-stellar year in
2007.
The Architectural coatings segment increased for the year by 2.2% in volume
shipped to 812.3 million gallons, and increased 6.3% in shipment value to
$9,477.2 million. This was an excellent result for the segment considering the
slow down in the housing market. For the fourth quarter, the segment declined 3.7%
in volume shipped while still increasing in shipment value by 2.9%. The volume
downturn in the fourth quarter continued a trend of reduced shipments for the
last three quarters. There is definitely a softening in the Architectural
coatings segment taking place, which is likely to continue into 2007.
The Product OEM coatings segment had a good year, with shipment volume
increasing 7.9% to 433.2 million gallons and shipment value increasing 3.0% to
$6,163.8 million. The 2006 growth for this segment was impressive compared to
the lower volumes recorded in the previous several years. The domestic
manufacturing economy has shown growth during the last year. For the 2006
fourth quarter, the segment increased in volume shipped by 3.1% but decreased
in value shipped by 2.7%. Shipment value could not keep up with the increased
raw material cost during the last couple of quarters. Is this a sign of a
possible softening of the segment for 2007?
The Special Purpose coatings
segment declined in volume shipped for the year by 5.0% to 147.9 million
gallons while increasing in value shipped by 2.8% to $3,738.6 million. Exactly
what this means is uncertain at this time since the complete annual results
scheduled to be released by the Census Bureau later this year will likely
change these numbers as it has the last several years. For the fourth quarter
2006, the segment decreased 10.2% in volume shipped while the shipment value
increased 3.5%. The reporting in this segment continues to be suspect,
especially between the quarterly reports and the annual report.
Exports for the year 2006 increased in value
by 8.5% to $1,656.8 million. Imports were reported as 3.2% of shipments or
$626.4 million. Imports have leveled off at more typical amounts during the
last couple of quarters from those reported in the four quarters that ended
with the second quarter of 2006.